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Based on recent data from the Hungarian Central Statistical Office (KSH), the consumer price index rose by 3.8 percent year-on-year in November, while on a monthly basis, the increase was only 0.1 percent. The prices of basic foodstuffs continued to fall, fuel became cheaper, and stabilization was observed in several areas.
The November inflation data indicates a favorable trend: the annual increase of 3.8 percent is lower than many previous values, suggesting that monetary policy and market dynamics are effectively curbing price increases. The monthly change of 0.1 percent is almost negligible and can be attributed to seasonal effects, while price decreases can be observed in several areas.
Food prices rose by an average of 3.2 percent on an annual basis, but if we exclude catering, this increase is reduced to just 0.6 percent. Particularly good news for households is that the prices of many basic products have fallen significantly, partly as a result of government measures and the extended price cap, the extension of which, announced in mid-November, is expected to further reduce the rate of price increases for the products and product groups concerned.
According to recent data from the Hungarian Central Statistical Office (KSH), during the period under review, the price of margarine fell by 28.3%, flour by 15.3%, dairy products by 11.4%, milk by 8.1%, pork by 7.8%, salami and sausage by 7%, and sugar by 4.7% compared to the previous year. Of course, there are products that have become more expensive: confectionery flour products by 15.9%, coffee by 14.9%, snack foods by 11.3%, eggs by 11.2%, chocolate and cocoa by 10.7%, cooking oil by 10.1 percent, school meals by 7.5 percent, pastries by 6.7 percent, and non-alcoholic soft drinks by 4.9 percent.
However, this mixed picture indicates that, overall, the food market has responded well to the measures, is stabilizing, and falling prices may offset inflationary trends in the longer term.
On a monthly basis, food prices rose by an average of 0.2 percent compared to October, while prices remained unchanged excluding catering. While eggs rose by 3.6%, cooking oil by 2.7% and snack foods by 1.1%, several products became cheaper: fruit and vegetable juices by 3.2%, chocolate and cocoa by 3.1%, butter by 2.1% and cheese by 1.2%.
The 9.8 percent annual increase in household energy costs is primarily due to the 22 percent increase in the market price (not reduced) of piped gas, while electricity costs rose by only 2.1 percent. Although this group significantly pushes up average inflation, this pressure is also expected to ease as global energy prices stabilize. On a monthly basis, energy prices have already fallen by 0.4 percent, which is a welcome relief during the winter months. Services rose by 6.5 percent on an annual basis. On a monthly basis, the price of services fell by 0.1 percent, mainly due to a 1.1 percent decline in vacation services.
Durable consumer goods saw an annual increase of only 2.9 percent, indicating low inflation and favorable conditions for those planning major investments. Jewelry is up 21.5 percent, furniture 5.9 percent, heating equipment 3 percent, and new cars 1.7 percent.
It is particularly encouraging that the price of vehicle fuels has fallen by 5 percent on an annual basis, which alleviates transport and shipping costs and contributes to curbing overall inflation.
There has also been a 0.6 percent decrease on a monthly basis. Although medicines have become 5.1 percent more expensive over the past year, there has been a 0.1 percent decrease in prices on a monthly basis.
Based on data from the Hungarian Central Statistical Office (KSH) for November, it can be said that the inflationary environment of the Hungarian economy is moderating and stabilizing. The 3.8 percent annual inflation rate can be considered controllable, and the 0.1 percent monthly change is minimal.
The prices of basic foodstuffs have fallen in several areas, fuel has become cheaper, and household energy costs are moderating on a monthly basis.
Together, these factors are easing the burden on households and improving purchasing power. If this trend continues, a stable inflationary environment can be expected by 2026, providing a good basis for economic growth and a revival in consumption.
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p style=”text-align: justify”>Via Oeconomus Economic Research Foundation, macronom.eu; Featured photo: Pexels
The post Inflation Continues to Ease as Prices Fall in November appeared first on Hungary Today.
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